In which year will a quantum computer with at least 1,000 logical qubits be publicly demonstrated?
WissenschaftTechnik4JManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNot demonstrated by 31 Dec 2035 31.6%Führend unter 5 Optionen
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📌 Description :
- This market resolves based on the first public demonstration of a quantum computer achieving ≥1,000 logical qubits.
- A valid demonstration must include:
- • Explicit identification of logical qubits (error-corrected, not physical qubits),
- • Evidence of fault-tolerant operation (e.g. sustained error correction),
- • Public disclosure via peer-reviewed paper, preprint, or official announcement by a recognized organization (company, research lab, or government agency).
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für In which year will a quantum computer with at least 1,000 logical qubits be publicly demonstrated??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Not demonstrated by 31 Dec 2035 mit 32% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird In which year will a quantum computer with at least 1,000 logical qubits be publicly demonstrated? entschieden?
- In which year will a quantum computer with at least 1,000 logical qubits be publicly demonstrated? soll am 31. Dezember 2030 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird In which year will a quantum computer with at least 1,000 logical qubits be publicly demonstrated? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: 📌 Description :