Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätQuelldaten beeinträchtigt
Daten vom 25.10.2026, 10:00 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Aktuelle Community-Prognose2050-2059 16.7%Führend unter 7 Optionen
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Fragetyp
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Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
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Aktualisiert vor 14 Stunden
Veraltet9. Juni 25, 01:07 UTC31. Dez. 20, 23:59 UTC
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As a bloc, the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN — Brunei, Cambodia, Indonesia, Laos, Malaysia, Myanmar, the Philippines, Singapore, Thailand and Vietnam) already forms one of the world’s largest collective economies.
- According to the 2025 IMF World Economic Outlook, ASEAN’s combined GDP at Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) is roughly US $13 trillion, versus US $30.5 trillion for the United States — a little over 40 % of U.S. size today.
- Continued rapid growth in populous members such as Indonesia, the Philippines and Vietnam, together with steady expansion in services and high-tech hubs like Singapore and Malaysia, leads many forecasters to ask when the region might finally match the U.S. in PPP terms.
- Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves to the first calendar year in which ASEAN’s combined GDP at Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) is at least 1.00 times (≥ 100 %) the GDP (PPP) of the United States, based on the following rules:
- Primary data source — Use the April or October release of the IMF World Economic Outlook (WEO) for the relevant year.
