In which years will the CDC report more measles cases in the US than 2026?
Gesundheit & MedizinKIOne-Off4J
Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose2027 53.2%Führend unter 4 Optionen
Prognostiker
9
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
+2.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Stunden
Veraltet1. Juni 26, 16:44 UTC1. Feb. 31, 04:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the CDC report more measles cases in 2027 than 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the CDC report twice as many measles cases in 2026 as 2025?
Manifold MarketsMeasles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
FutuurMeasles cases in U.S. in 2026?
PolymarketMeasles cases in 2026?
KalshiMeasles cases in U.S. by October 31?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolution criteria
- Each option (2027, 2028, 2029, 2030) in this market is independent and will resolve based on whether the final reported number of confirmed measles cases in the United States for that year exceeds the final reported count for the year 2026.
- YES: If the CDC’s finalized (or consolidated provisional) annual count of confirmed measles cases in the United States for the respective year is strictly greater than the final count for 2026.
- NO: If the count is equal to or less than the final count for 2026.
- Source of Truth: The primary source of truth is the CDC's official Measles Cases and Outbreaks page.
- If the data is archived or the page structure changes, final annual tables from the CDC's National Notifiable Diseases Surveillance System (NNDSS) or the Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report (MMWR) will be used.