PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 94.1%
Nein 94.1%Marktqualitat
77 / 100
Hohe Qualität24h-Volumen
6572,4 €
Liquidität
23.260,1 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
5.0% / 6.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadKommentare
0
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Minuten
5. Okt. 26, 19:47 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Polymarket
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Mindestorder (Anteile):
- 5
- Preisschritt:
- 1 Prozentpunkte
- Gebühren:
- Ja
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Confirmed pneumonic plague case in Russia by which date?
PolymarketWill the Irkutsk Anti-Plague institute incident turn into an outbreak?
Manifold MarketsWill a pneumonic plague case be reported in the U.S. this year?
KalshiWill a case linked to the Irkutsk plague be reported outside Irkutsk Oblast by November 1?
Manifold MarketsPlague declared public health emergency by which date?
PolymarketNew pandemic in 2026?
PolymarketRegeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes plague, Yersinia pestis, pneumonic plague, or any plague outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the disease or outbreak as a "pandemic".
- A Public Health Emergency of International Concern alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.