If Ukraine accepts the peace deal Russia offers, will Russia keep it for at least 30 years?
GeopolitikOne-OffRussia / UkraineEuropeManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 51.2%
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Veraltet8. März 22, 09:56 UTC31. Dez. 52, 22:59 UTC
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FutuurRegeln
Currently the Peace deal Russia is offering is as follows - Ukraine recognises Crimea as Russian territory - Ukraine recognises the independence of the breakaway republics of Donetsk and Luhansk - Ukraine does not join the EU or NATO - Ukraine changes its constitiution to enshrine neutrality.
- This question resolves N/A if the war in Ukraine ends or reaches longterm ceasefire, but under different conditions than outlined above.
- Or if the year ends without ceasefire
- This question resolves "NO" If - Ukraine complies to these terms - Russia at any moment agrees that they have complied to these terms - Ukraine has not broken these terms - Russia violates the treaty anyway within 30 years of signing.
- If Ukraine breaks the treaty or 30 years pass without incident, this question will resolve "Yes".
- Mar 8, 11:10am: Use loans if you want to invest into in this market
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für If Ukraine accepts the peace deal Russia offers, will Russia keep it for at least 30 years??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 51% (Stand: 10. September 2026).
- Wann wird If Ukraine accepts the peace deal Russia offers, will Russia keep it for at least 30 years? entschieden?
- If Ukraine accepts the peace deal Russia offers, will Russia keep it for at least 30 years? soll am 31. Dezember 2052 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird If Ukraine accepts the peace deal Russia offers, will Russia keep it for at least 30 years? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Currently the Peace deal Russia is offering is as follows - Ukraine recognises Crimea as Russian territory - Ukraine recognises the independence of the breakaway republics of Donetsk and Luhansk - Ukraine does not join the EU or NATO - Ukraine changes its constitiution to enshrine neutrality.