Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
Ja 95%
Ja 95%Prognostiker
22
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 57 Minuten
Verzogert1. Nov. 22, 23:55 UTC8. Nov. 27, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Regeln
This market will resolve the next time reliable media report that North Korea has attempted to detonate a nuclear weapon -- whether a test or offensive attack.
- The market resolves to YES if reliable media report that the test was successful, and NO otherwise.
- https://manifold.markets/Boklam/will-north-korea-attempt-to-detonat
- for definitions of "reliable media" etc. If no such attempt is made by market close (Nov. 8, 2027), this market will resolve as N/A. (In case of delays in reporting, it's the date of the detonation that counts, not the date of the report.
