Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 60%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 11 Stunden
Veraltet20. Nov. 25, 20:35 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the 2025-26 US flu season be classified as "high severity" by the CDC?
Manifold MarketsEU debt downgrade before 2027?
PolymarketWill marijuana cease to be classified as a Schedule 1 drug under the U.S. Controlled Substances Act by January 1, 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the climate change activists "Last Generation" ("Letzte Generation") be classified as a criminal organization?
Manifold MarketsWill the US' sovereign credit rating be downgraded again by Fitch, Moody's or S&P by the end of 2026?
FutuurUS defaults on debt by 2027?
PolymarketRegeln
The market resolves YES if, at any time before 1 January 2027, any of the following index providers formally classifies European Union–issued debt as sovereign debt:
- Bloomberg Index Services Limited (including Bloomberg/Barclays fixed-income index classifications)
- FTSE Russell (including classifications relevant for the World Government Bond Index and related benchmarks)
- ICE Data Indices
- A classification counts only if it appears in official methodology documents, index-provider announcements, or other public statements issued directly by the institution and clearly designating EU-issued debt (including, but not limited to, NextGenerationEU bonds) as sovereign.
- If none of these providers adopt such a classification before the 1 January 2027, the market resolves NO.
Offene Märkte
EuropePOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74.8%
- New People (NL)-4.0pt21.2%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 22,1 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 419.743,6 €
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+1.1pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHISanchez Izquierdo vs Rodriguez Taverna
- Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo70.3%
- Santiago Rodriguez Taverna29.7%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 290.849,8 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 241.803,6 €
POLYMARKETSeville: Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Gonzalo Bueno
- Completed Match100%
- Bueno Set 1 Winner100%
- Bueno Total Sets: O/U 2.5100%
+13 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 171.771,1 €
POLYMARKETFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- No-1.0pt86%
- Yes+1.0pt14%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 757.972,1 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 94.331,6 €
POLYMARKETNext Prime Minister of Sweden
- Magdalena Andersson+1.5pt77.7%
- Ulf Kristersson-1.0pt20.4%
- Jimmie Åkesson-0.3pt1%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner
- Berlin State Election Winner
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: M Vote Share?
- Seville: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Santiago Rodriguez Taverna
- NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- ECB Interest Rates: September 2026
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: 4th Place
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: V Vote Share?
- Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für EU debt classified as sovereign before 2027??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 60% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird EU debt classified as sovereign before 2027? entschieden?
- EU debt classified as sovereign before 2027? soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird EU debt classified as sovereign before 2027? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: The market resolves YES if, at any time before 1 January 2027, any of the following index providers formally classifies European Union–issued debt as sovereign debt: