EU debt classified as sovereign before 2027?
EuropaOne-OffAnleihen & StaatsanleihenMakro & Wirtschaft2MonManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 58.3%
Prognostiker
3
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Stunden
Veraltet20. Nov. 25, 20:35 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the 2025-26 US flu season be classified as "high severity" by the CDC?
Manifold MarketsWhat would be Burkina Faso classified as in The Economist Democracy Index for 2026?
Manifold MarketsEU debt downgrade before 2027?
PolymarketWill any state claim part of the Moon's surface as its sovereign territory before 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill marijuana cease to be classified as a Schedule 1 drug under the U.S. Controlled Substances Act by January 1, 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the US' sovereign credit rating be downgraded again by Fitch, Moody's or S&P by the end of 2026?
FutuurRegeln
The market resolves YES if, at any time before 1 January 2027, any of the following index providers formally classifies European Union–issued debt as sovereign debt:
- Bloomberg Index Services Limited (including Bloomberg/Barclays fixed-income index classifications)
- FTSE Russell (including classifications relevant for the World Government Bond Index and related benchmarks)
- ICE Data Indices
- A classification counts only if it appears in official methodology documents, index-provider announcements, or other public statements issued directly by the institution and clearly designating EU-issued debt (including, but not limited to, NextGenerationEU bonds) as sovereign.
- If none of these providers adopt such a classification before the 1 January 2027, the market resolves NO.