Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Ja 16%
Marktqualitat
40 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
0 €
Liquidität
2733,4 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
11.0% / 20.0%
Spread
81.8%
Breiter Spread7d-Änderung
-1.5%
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 9 Minuten
7. Jan. 26, 23:0431. Dez. 26, 0:00
Trends
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Yes16%
Verwandte Märkte
Starmer out before July?
7547,8 €Ja: 16.9%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
France United Left Primary Winner
1301,6 €Canceled: 49%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?
1076,3 €December 31,: 32%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Macron out by...?
946,4 €June 30, 2026: 1%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETWhich UK party will next take a decisive second place in the polls?
194,8 €Conservatives: 28.4%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
When will Keir Starmer be replaced as Prime Minister of the UK?
143,2 €2024: 0.3%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSIn diesen Themen aktiv
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the European Union's long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.