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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Bonds & Treasuries
  3. Another US debt downgrade before 2027?
Another US debt downgrade before 2027?

Another US debt downgrade before 2027?

0.5% (24h)Bonds & TreasuriesYearlyMacro & Economy6Mon
PolymarketPolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Ja
Ja 28%
Marktqualitat

24 / 100

Niedrige Qualität
24h-Volumen

0 €

Liquidität

853,9 €

Niedrige Liquidität
Geld / Brief

13.0% / 43.0%

Spread

230.8%

Breiter Spread
7d-Änderung

+8.0%

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 5 Minuten

5. Nov. 25, 20:0031. Dez. 26, 0:00

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Yes28%

Regeln

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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US credit rating downgrade in 2026?

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Freddie Mac 30Y fixed-rate mortgage average below 5.75% in 2026?

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How rich will Elon Musk get before 2027?

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More than $1 trillion: 93%KalshiKALSHI
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Will Elon Musk be worth $2.0t or more before 2028?

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Which companies will be in the Top 10 worldwide by market cap at the end of 2026?

400,9 €
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In diesen Themen aktiv

BitcoinBTC$62,676.43+1.63%EthereumETH$1,655.09+1.13%SolanaSOL$65.02+0.81%HyperliquidHYPE$55.80+0.65%XRPXRP$1.12-0.15%DogecoinDOGE$0.0849+1.03%

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Regeln

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.