KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 90%
Marktqualitat
68 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
51,3 €
Liquidität
28.888 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
10.0% / 11.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 2 Minuten
1. Jan. 26, 05:01 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Brazil’s sovereign credit rating be downgraded by Fitch, Moody’s, or S&P in 2026?
FutuurDrop in India’s S&P long-term credit rating in 2026?
FutuurDrop in Mexico’s S&P long-term credit rating in 2026?
FutuurAnother US debt downgrade before 2027?
PolymarketWill MSCI downgrade Indonesia to Frontier Market status by November 30?
PolymarketWill S&P downgrade the US to AA or lower by 2027?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
If U.S. credit is downgraded by any of the three major credit ratings agencies by December 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Offene Märkte
Bonds & TreasuriesPOLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- 4.5%+11.2pt100%
- 4.6%+4.9pt100%
- 4.8%+7.9pt100%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 282.717,9 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 12.215,6 €
POLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
- 4.82%+23.5pt72%
- 4.85%+0.5pt42%
- 4.88%+2.5pt28%
+6 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
- Below 4.76%-2.0pt77%
- Below 4.73%-12.5pt64%
- Below 4.70%-32.0pt27%
+6 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHI2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
- 4.31% or above99%
- 4.37% or above99%
- 4.33% or above99%
+12 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 3062,3 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 3062,3 €
KALSHI10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
- 4.66% or above99%
- 4.68% or above99%
- 4.74% or above99%
+12 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 2305 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 2305 €
POLYMARKETHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
- 4.0%+0.3pt100%
- 3.9%-1.1pt8%
- 3.5%5%
+6 weitere Ergebnisse
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
- 2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- 5Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
- How high will 5-year Treasury yield go in September?
- UST par yield curve (2Y) at end of Q3 2026
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026?
- 10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- How low will 5-year Treasury yield get in September?
- How low will 30-year Treasury yield get in September?
- 7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für US credit rating downgrade in 2026??
- Kalshi bewertet No mit 90% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird US credit rating downgrade in 2026? entschieden?
- US credit rating downgrade in 2026? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird US credit rating downgrade in 2026? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If U.S. credit is downgraded by any of the three major credit ratings agencies by December 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.