Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 91%
Prognostiker
15
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 23 Stunden
Veraltet17. Mai 25, 02:55 UTC2. Jan. 27, 01:00 UTC
Trends
Makro-Sensible Assets
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Another US debt downgrade before 2027?
PolymarketUS credit rating downgrade in 2026?
KalshiWill MSCI downgrade Indonesia to Frontier Market status by November 30?
PolymarketIn which decade will bitcoin reach $1 million?
Manifold MarketsUS Patent System gets a price hike by 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhen will it be possible to spend $10 million or less to edit your genes to require less sleep?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Standard & Poor's downgraded the U.S. credit rating from 'AAA' to 'AA+' in 2011.
- (en.wikipedia.org) This market resolves to 'Yes' if S&P announces a downgrade of the U.S. credit rating to 'AA' or lower before January 1, 2027.
- Resolution will be based on official statements from S&P.
Offene Märkte
InflationPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+1.0pt54%
- No change-2.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase+0.1pt1%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 91 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1,7 Mio. €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.7%+1.0pt99%
- Above 2.9%99%
- Above 2.5%99%
+23 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 569.721,2 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 47.363,9 €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%+2.0pt99%
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+12 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 359.180,6 €
- 24h-Volumen
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+3.0pt54.5%
- September Meeting+2.0pt45.5%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHINYC median asking rent in December 2026
- Above $3,80095%
- Above $3,900+1.0pt82%
- Above $4,00044%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 79.709 €
- 24h-Volumen
KALSHICPI core in August
- Above 0.0%99%
- Above 0.1%+5.0pt86%
- Above 0.2%36%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 18.267,6 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 7302,2 €
- CPI year-over-year in Aug 2026?
- Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Core CPI MoM - August 2026
- CPI in September
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- CPI-U index in August
- How high will inflation get in 2026?
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- Core CPI YoY - August 2026
- Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- August 2026 CPI MoM Combo: Headline & Core
Zugehörige Kryptos
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will S&P downgrade the US to AA or lower by 2027??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 91% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will S&P downgrade the US to AA or lower by 2027? entschieden?
- Will S&P downgrade the US to AA or lower by 2027? soll am 2. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will S&P downgrade the US to AA or lower by 2027? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Standard & Poor's downgraded the U.S. credit rating from 'AAA' to 'AA+' in 2011.