Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Nein 62.8%
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3
Fragetyp
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Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 13 Minuten
18. Okt. 26, 14:22 UTC14. Nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
🇫🇷🪧 Will France report 300,000+ protesters on at least 1 of the next 2 Saturdays (Oct 24 or Oct 31, 2026)?
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Manifold MarketsWhich state laws will be enacted in 2026?
KalshiRegeln
Resolves YES if, on any single nationwide protest day against the cost of living (vie chere) held between Oct 17, 2026 and Nov 14, 2026 (Paris time), the French Ministry of the Interior reports more than 1,000,000 participants nationwide.
- The Oct 17, 2026 day counts (the Ministry's current figure is 550,000, so it would only count if officially revised above 1,000,000).
- Organizers' or unions' figures do not count; if the Ministry publishes no figure, police figures reported by AFP are used.
- Resolves NO otherwise.
- The market closes before the result is public.
