🇫🇷🪧 Will France report 300,000+ protesters on at least 1 of the next 2 Saturdays (Oct 24 or Oct 31, 2026)?
One-OffGesellschaft & Kultur4TManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 70.8%
Prognostiker
8
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 11 Minuten
18. Okt. 26, 20:27 UTC24. Okt. 26, 10:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
🇫🇷🪧 Will France's Interior Ministry report 1,000,000+ protesters on one "vie chère" day before Nov 15, 2026?
Manifold MarketsIsraeli airspace closed between Oct. 15 and Oct. 31?
PolymarketHow much BTC will Satoshi's Genesis address receive from Oct 4 to Oct 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill RAM be more expensive next year? (Oct 2026 - Oct 2027)
Manifold MarketsWhat will NYC subway average weekday ridership be in October 2026?
KalshiBozeman-area housing units authorized in 2026
KalshiRegeln
Context: the first big "vie chere" protest day, on Saturday Oct 17, 2026, drew 550,000 protesters according to the French Ministry of the Interior (800,000 according to organizers).
- Resolves YES if the Ministry of the Interior (or, if it publishes no national figure, police figures reported by AFP) reports more than 300,000 protesters nationwide on Saturday Oct 24, 2026 or on Saturday Oct 31, 2026 (at least one of the two), in protests against the cost of living (vie chere) or the related social movement.
- Organizers' or unions' figures do not count.
- The Oct 17 day does not count.
- Resolves NO otherwise, including if no protest takes place.
- The market closes before the first of these figures is public.