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Daten vom 25.08.2026, 12:40 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-3
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 87.5%
Marktqualitat
30 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
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Liquidität
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Liquidität unbekanntMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 15 Minuten
25. Aug. 26, 12:0231. Dez. 26, 0:00
Trends
Regeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
2 Handelsplätze bepreisen diesen Markt derzeit. Die liquiditätsgewichtete Referenzwahrscheinlichkeit von CoinRithm für CoinRithm-Referenz liegt bei 13%. Die Kurse liegen rund 1 Prozentpunkt auseinander.
CoinRithm-Referenz 13% · 2 Plattformen · 1 Pkt. Venue-Spanne
Offene Märkte
Geopolitics
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No+3.0pt87.1%
- Yes-3.0pt12.9%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 53,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 2 Mio. €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-6.2pt70%
- October 31-9.5pt50%
- September 30-13.0pt25%
+17 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- August 22100%
- August 25100%
- August 31+1.4pt97%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+1.0pt74.8%
- New People (NL)-1.1pt19.2%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)+0.1pt5%
POLYMARKETNext round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- March 31, 2027-5.0pt63%
- December-7.0pt46%
- September 30,-4.0pt18%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- December 31-0.5pt17%
- October 3111%
- September 30+1.0pt7%
+9 weitere Ergebnisse
- NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by which date?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027??
- Limitless bewertet No mit 88% (Stand: 28. August 2026).
- Wann wird Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? entschieden?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? abgerechnet?
- Limitless rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: <p>This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Wo wird Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? außerdem gelistet?
- Dieselbe Frage wird auch auf Manifold Markets, Polymarket gelistet.