KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Ja 72%
Marktqualitat
61 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
1183,3 €
Liquidität
688,5 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
72.0% / 74.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 10 Minuten
17. Aug. 26, 22:00 UTC31. März 27, 15:29 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?
PolymarketUK unemployment rate in Q4 2026 per ONS
Manifold MarketsWill the US unemployment rate hit more than 6% in any month of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the FOMC cut rates before Inflation minus Unemployment Rate is below negative 4%?
Manifold MarketsWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 3.2% in December 2026?
ForecastExWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 3.7% in December 2026?
ForecastExRegeln
If the first non-preliminary Wyoming's seasonally adjusted unemployment rate for every month from July through December 2026 inclusive, is strictly below
Abwicklung über:Bureau of Labor Statistics
- 3.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The Underlying is the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate for Wyoming, expressed as a percentage of the civilian labor force and published by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics through the Local Area Unemployment Statistics program.
Offene Märkte
EconomyPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+12.0pt64.7%
- No change-12.0pt34.3%
- 50+ bps increase+0.2pt1%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 97,8 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 4,8 Mio. €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.0%+2.0pt99%
- Above 2.9%99%
- Above 2.7%99%
+23 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 702.460,4 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 91.038,4 €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above -0.2%+3.0pt99%
+12 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 399.989,3 €
- 24h-Volumen
KALSHICPI core in August
- Above 0.0%99%
- Above 0.1%-1.0pt87%
- Above 0.2%-8.0pt26%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 34.473,1 €
KALSHIUnited Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- Above -5.5% of GDP92%
- Above -5.0% of GDP79%
- Above -4.5% of GDP-5.0pt62%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 28.300,6 €
- 24h-Volumen
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No97%
- Yes-3.0pt3%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 2,9 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 4885,8 €
- Core inflation in August 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- Germany’s government budget balance in 2026
- Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- GDP growth in 2026
- China unemployment rate in August
- US government budget balance in 2026
- Recession in 2027?
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026
- Will the US Unemployment Rate exceed 3.8% in October 2026? (Jobless) (Jobs) (Labor market) (Layoffs) (Economy)?
- More tech layoffs in 2026 than in 2025?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Wyoming's unemployment rate remain below 3.5% in 2026??
- Kalshi bewertet Yes mit 72% (Stand: 10. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Wyoming's unemployment rate remain below 3.5% in 2026? entschieden?
- Will Wyoming's unemployment rate remain below 3.5% in 2026? soll am 31. März 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Wyoming's unemployment rate remain below 3.5% in 2026? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If the first non-preliminary Wyoming's seasonally adjusted unemployment rate for every month from July through December 2026 inclusive, is strictly below