Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose>5.0% to 5.3% 43%Führend unter 5 Optionen
Prognostiker
11
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 17 Stunden
Veraltet27. Nov. 25, 09:21 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Makro-Sensible Assets
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Unemployment rate for new college grads increases in 2026?
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PolymarketUnemployment rate in Nov 2026?
KalshiUnemployment rate in Oct 2026?
KalshiWill the US unemployment rate hit more than 6% in any month of 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
What will the UK unemployment rate be in the final quarter of 2026 (October-December 2026) according to ONS Labour Force Survey data?
- Current Context:
- July-September 2025: 5.0% unemployment rate
- IFS baseline forecast: unemployment peaks at 5.1% in 2026
- Recent trend: unemployment has been rising since mid-2022
- Resolution Criteria: This market resolves to the unemployment rate (seasonally adjusted, ages 16+) published by the ONS for October-December 2026 in the Employment in the UK bulletin released in early 2027.
Offene Märkte
InflationPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt54%
- No change-2.0pt46%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 90,1 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1,4 Mio. €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
+12 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 358.643,9 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 35.773 €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.1%+2.0pt99%
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
+23 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 548.346,9 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 28.798 €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+3.0pt54.2%
- September Meeting+2.0pt45.8%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHINYC median asking rent in December 2026
- Above $3,80095%
- Above $3,90081%
- Above $4,00044%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 79.764,2 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 7616,5 €
POLYMARKETCore CPI MoM - August 2026
- 0.2%-1.0pt51.9%
- 0.3%+4.5pt34.6%
- 0.1%-3.0pt9.6%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- CPI core in August
- Fed rate hike in 2026?
- CPI in September
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- August Inflation US - Annual
- CPI-U index in August
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- August Inflation US - Monthly
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- How high will inflation get in 2026?
- Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
Zugehörige Kryptos
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für UK unemployment rate in Q4 2026 per ONS?
- Manifold Markets bewertet >5.0% to 5.3% mit 43% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird UK unemployment rate in Q4 2026 per ONS entschieden?
- UK unemployment rate in Q4 2026 per ONS soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird UK unemployment rate in Q4 2026 per ONS abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: What will the UK unemployment rate be in the final quarter of 2026 (October-December 2026) according to ONS Labour Force Survey data?