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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Wirtschaft
  3. More white-collar layoffs in 20​26 than in 2025?
More white-collar layoffs in 20​26 than in 2025?

More white-collar layoffs in 20​26 than in 2025?

5.0% (24h)WirtschaftYearlyBusiness & CorporateMacro & Economy8Mon
KalshiKalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Ja
Ja 70%-5.0%
Marktqualitat

44 / 100

Niedrige Qualität
24h-Volumen

0 €

Liquidität

105,4 €

Niedrige Liquidität
Geld / Brief

70.0% / 75.0%

Spread

7.1%

Mittlerer Spread
Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 5 Minuten

31. März 26, 14:001. März 27, 15:00

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Yes70%

Regeln

If the total number of layoffs and discharges in the Professional and Business Services sector during calendar year 2026 is greater than 5,497,000, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • This market will use FRED series JTU540099LDL, “Layoffs and Discharges: Total Nonfarm: Professional and Business Services, Level in Thousands, Monthly, Not Seasonally Adjusted."

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Regeln

If the total number of layoffs and discharges in the Professional and Business Services sector during calendar year 2026 is greater than 5,497,000, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • This market will use FRED series JTU540099LDL, “Layoffs and Discharges: Total Nonfarm: Professional and Business Services, Level in Thousands, Monthly, Not Seasonally Adjusted."