KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
September 25 25.3%+12.0ptFührend unter 7 OptionenMargenbereinigt: Die Rohquoten summierten sich auf über 100 % und wurden normalisiert.
Marktqualitat
69 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
2526,3 €
Liquidität
13.968,2 €
Mittlere LiquiditätSpread
2.0 pt
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 3 Minuten
18. Sept. 26, 16:30 UTC29. Sept. 26, 13:00 UTC
Trends
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
PolymarketStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
PolymarketStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?
PolymarketStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of October? [Polymarket]
Manifold MarketsStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of September? [Metaculus]
Manifold MarketsStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of September? [Polymarket]
Manifold MarketsRegeln
If Sep 21, 2026 is the date with the highest number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch in the listed week, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:IMF PortWatch
- Daily counts will be evaluated from Sep 21, 2026 to Sep 27, 2026.
- The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.
- If multiple days tie for the highest number of transit calls, the market for each tied day will resolve to 1/N, where N is the number of tied days.
- If Sep 22, 2026 is the date with the highest number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch in the listed week, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Sep 23, 2026 is the date with the highest number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch in the listed week, then the market resolves to Yes.
Offene Märkte
Middle EastPOLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+1.4pt65%
- October 31-4.0pt35%
- September 30-3.0pt7%
+17 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 27 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 656.652,7 €
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No+1.0pt86%
- Yes-1.0pt14%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 59,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 525.692,8 €
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- No-5.0pt75.3%
- Yes+5.0pt24.8%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 10,9 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 409.952,4 €
POLYMARKETSaudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by which date?
- October 31+12.9pt88%
- September 30+26.5pt56%
- September 221%
+1 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETNobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms+0.3pt13%
- Save the Children+0.1pt10%
- Yulia Navalnaya8%
+28 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWhen will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Before Jan 1, 2029+3.0pt73%
- Before Jul 1, 2028+3.0pt68%
- Before Jan 1, 2028+4.0pt56%
+10 weitere Ergebnisse
- US-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
- Iran leadership change by which date?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (9/21 - 9/27)?
- Kalshi bewertet September 25 mit 25.3% (Stand: 23. September 2026).
- Wann wird Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (9/21 - 9/27) entschieden?
- Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (9/21 - 9/27) soll am 29. September 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (9/21 - 9/27) abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If Sep 21, 2026 is the date with the highest number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch in the listed week, then the market resolves to Yes.