Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 99%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aktualisiert vor 15 Stunden
Veraltet24. Juni 26, 16:08 UTC30. Sept. 26, 23:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
PolymarketStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of September? [Polymarket]
Manifold MarketsStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of October? [Polymarket]
Manifold MarketsStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
PolymarketStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?
PolymarketWill traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal before September 1, 2026?
ForecastExRegeln
This question will resolve if IMF PortWatch reports that the 7 day moving average for the Strait of Hormuz is at least 85 by August 31st.
- This uses Metaculus rules.
- September 30th is currently the median estimate per Metaculus.
- https://www.metaculus.com/questions/42728/strait-of-hormuz-normalization-date/
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
Offene Märkte
Middle EastPOLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30-8.0pt72%
- September 18-7.5pt68%
- September 11-10.5pt60%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 978.607,6 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 379.348,9 €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.3pt49.1%
- October 31-1.0pt29.3%
- September 30-2.0pt12.1%
+17 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- No+4.5pt80.2%
- Yes-4.5pt19.8%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 9,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 248.080,5 €
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot+5.0pt58.2%
- Benjamin Netanyahu-1.0pt28.6%
- Naftali Bennett-1.0pt7.1%
+16 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETIsrael closes its airspace by which date?
- September 30+0.1pt100%
- May 8-1.4pt0%
- May 31-1.2pt0%
+16 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 317%
- September 30+0.3pt1%
- July 310%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Crude Oil all time high by which date?
- Al Nassr vs Abha
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of September? [Metaculus]?
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 99% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of September? [Metaculus] entschieden?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of September? [Metaculus] soll am 30. September 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of September? [Metaculus] abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This question will resolve if IMF PortWatch reports that the 7 day moving average for the Strait of Hormuz is at least 85 by August 31st.
- Wo wird Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of September? [Metaculus] außerdem gelistet?
- Dieselbe Frage wird auch auf Polymarket gelistet.