KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Before 2027 49%+21.0ptFührend unter 5 Optionen
Before 2027 49%+21.0ptMarktqualitat
45 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
169,8 €
Open Interest
19.707,3 €
Mittleres Open InterestSpread
8.0 pt
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 4 Minuten
21. Sept. 26, 23:00 UTC1. Dez. 26, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Before SeptemberVerloren
Before OctoberVerloren
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Grok 4.8+ (xAI) release date
Manifold MarketsWill xAI release a video game before 2027?
KalshiWill Legally Blonde 3 release before Grok 6?
Manifold MarketsWill xAI release a game made entirely with AI that is better made than the best made Roblox game in the next 5 yrs?
Manifold MarketsOpenAI market share this week
KalshiDeepSeek market share this week
KalshiRegeln
If xAI releases Grok 5 before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:xAI
- Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable.
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- Before 2027
- If xAI releases Grok 5 before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before December
- If xAI releases Grok 5 before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before September
- If xAI releases Grok 5 before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before November
- If xAI releases Grok 5 before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before October
- If xAI releases Grok 5 before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
- Auch verfügbar auf Manifold Markets — Grok 5 (xAI) release date · Before 2027 52%
