KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGrob kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitBefore 2027 58.7%Führend unter 3 Optionen
Marktqualitat
50 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
57,1 €
Liquidität
18.630,7 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
41.0% / 47.0%
Spread
6.0 pt
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 20 Minuten
1. Jan. 26, 15:001. Okt. 26, 3:59
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Before October40%
Plattformen vergleichen· Before 2027
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiDiese SeiteBeste insgesamt | Mittel | 64% | — | 57,1 € | 18.630,7 € | vor 20 Minuten | |
 Manifold Markets90% Übereinstimmung · geprüft | — | 5% | — | — | — | vorgestern | Öffnen → |
Auch verfügbar auf Manifold Markets
Grok 5 (xAI) release date
1Mon
-11.0pt5.2%
-5.1pt2.3%
0%
+10 weitere Ergebnisse
Community-Prognose64 PrognostikerTyp: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSRegeln
If xAI releases Grok 5 before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable.
- If xAI releases Grok 5 before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If xAI releases Grok 5 before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
$652. Juli24T Daten27. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
Top AI model this week
208.664,8 €claude-opus-4-6-thinking: 2%KALSHI
KALSHI
Next Claude Opus: Text Arena Debut?
50.861,2 €1480+: 100%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Which company has best AI model end of July?
45.603,7 €Anthropic: 99%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Best AI this week
42.753 €Grok: 1%KALSHI
KALSHIBest AI model on August 1?
40.913,9 €Other: 88%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
When will OpenAI release GPT-6?
13.015,3 €Before Oct 1, 2026: 58%KALSHI
KALSHIIn diesen Themen aktiv
Verwandte Nachrichten
Coinbase Opens Payment Rails for AI Agents as Corporate Clients Accept Autonomous TransactionsBlockchain Reporter
Google Is Building an AI Chip Just for Gemini—And Investors Already Moved On ItDecrypt
WhiteBIT Launches AI Hub: Trade, Monitor and Automate Through Your Favourite AI AssistantBlockchain Reporter
Over 95% of Coinbase’s code is now written with AICointelegraph
DeepSeek plots $71B IPO to challenge OpenAI in global AI raceCrypto News
DeepMind CEO Says AGI Will Be Bigger Than Electricity or FireDecryptRegeln
If xAI releases Grok 5 before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable.
- If xAI releases Grok 5 before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If xAI releases Grok 5 before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.