Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Grok 4.8+ (xAI) release date?

Manifold Markets bewertet Before February 2027 mit 93.7% (Stand: 28. Oktober 2026).

Wann wird Grok 4.8+ (xAI) release date entschieden?

Grok 4.8+ (xAI) release date soll am 1. Februar 2027 entschieden werden.

KI TechnikOne-Off3Mon

Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriert

Aktuelle Community-Prognose

Before February 2027 93.7%

Führend unter 5 Optionen

Prognostiker

Fragetyp

multiple choice

Methodik

Play-money forecasting platform

Quellentyp

Prognose

7d-Änderung

0.0 pts

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 14 Stunden

Veraltet

31. Aug. 26, 14:57 UTC1. Feb. 27, 04:59 UTC

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Regeln

The '+' means any version at or above 4.8 counts: if xAI skips 4.8 and releases Grok 4.9 or Grok 5, that still counts for the purpose of this market.

Minor changes to the name, or other names for a model generally expected to be called Grok 4.8, will also count.
The model must be accessible without individual vetting or invitation — free or paid, via API or product.
Open, non-selective waitlists count.
Closed betas, invite-only access, researcher programs, A/B tests, and anonymous benchmark appearances do not.
Country-level bans do not prevent resolution.