KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätKeine Handelsaktivität
Daten vom 11.09.2026, 14:30 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-3
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
At least 1730K 0%Führend unter 11 Optionen
Marktqualitat
26 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
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Liquidität
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Liquidität unbekanntSpread
9.0 pt
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 5 Minuten
10. Sept. 26, 17:45 UTC17. Sept. 26, 12:29 UTC
Trends
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the US Unemployment Rate exceed 3.8% in October 2026? (Jobless) (Jobs) (Labor market) (Layoffs) (Economy)?
ForecastExWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 4.6% in October 2026? (Jobless) (Jobs) (Labor market) (Layoffs) (Economy)?
ForecastExWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 3.3% in September 2026? (Jobless) (Jobs) (Labor market) (Layoffs) (Economy)?
ForecastExFed Decision in September?
PolymarketUnited Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
KalshiWill real US GDP per capita grow by at least 15% within a single year by the end of 2033?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
If the U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Sep 5, 2026 is at least
- 1730K, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The Underlying is the advance seasonally adjusted insured unemployment figure reported by the U.S. Department of Labor’s Employment and Training Administration in its Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report for the week ending Sep 5, 2026.
- The market will use the advance figure first published for the specified week.
- The following week's revision will not affect resolution.
- 1740K, then the market resolves to Yes.
Offene Märkte
EconomyPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+17.0pt80.2%
- No change-16.0pt18.8%
- 50+ bps increase-0.3pt1%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 104,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 8,2 Mio. €
KALSHIWisconsin manufacturing employment average in 2026
- Above 447,500 jobs96%
- Above 450,000 jobs94%
- Above 452,500 jobs84%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 100.266,8 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 8422 €
KALSHIInflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.0%96%
- Above 3.3%+23.0pt88%
- Above 3.1%86%
+18 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 25.779,1 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 7316,3 €
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No96%
- Yes-2.0pt4%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 2,9 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 6325,6 €
POLYMARKETBrazil GDP Growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?
- -0.3% to -0.1%+1.5pt33.7%
- 0.0% to 0.2%+3.0pt29.5%
- <-0.3%+2.4pt9.5%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIGermany’s government budget balance in 2026
- Above -5.0% of GDP93%
- Above -4.5% of GDP84%
- Above -4.0% of GDP51%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 21.081,2 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 3322,5 €
- Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- Japan’s government budget balance in 2026
- China Annual GDP Growth 2026
- Recession in 2027?
- GDP growth in 2026
- Unemployment in September
- Will Wyoming's unemployment rate remain below 3.5% in 2026?
- Canada GDP: July 2026 (MoM)
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- 2026: Trump's bad year?
- France’s government budget balance in 2026
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Continuing jobless claims for the week ending Sep 5, 2026?
- Kalshi bewertet At least 1730K mit 0% (Stand: 11. September 2026).
- Wann wird Continuing jobless claims for the week ending Sep 5, 2026 entschieden?
- Continuing jobless claims for the week ending Sep 5, 2026 soll am 17. September 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Continuing jobless claims for the week ending Sep 5, 2026 abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If the U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Sep 5, 2026 is at least