KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Alibaba 78%+3.0ptFührend unter 9 OptionenMargenbereinigt: Die Rohquoten summierten sich auf über 100 % und wurden normalisiert.
Marktqualitat
50 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
11.618,7 €
Liquidität
14.787,9 €
Mittlere LiquiditätSpread
8.0 pt
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 23 Minuten
31. Aug. 26, 14:0114. Sept. 26, 14:00
Trends
Regeln
If Moonshot is the Highest Ranked Chinese AI Company model on Arena AI Text Score (Remove Style Control) on Sep 14, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Control)
- Qualifying Chinese AI companies are defined as a company whose global or primary operational headquarters is located in mainland China.
- Tied rankings shall be resolved using the publisher's official tie-breaking methodology; if none exists, all tied entities share the highest rank among them.
- If multiple candidates are tied for a given rank, then their Contracts will resolve to $1/(the number of candidates tied), rounded down.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Offene Märkte
AI
POLYMARKETNext Mythos-Class Model released by which date?
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- September 30+4.0pt96%
- September 15+1.5pt89%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
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- 24h-Volumen
- 194.961,7 €
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- Claude+0.2pt68%
- ChatGPT-1.2pt12.6%
- Grok+0.4pt9.7%
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- Gesamtvolumen
- 8,3 Mio. €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,95%
- October 31,90%
- October 15,-2.0pt68%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,9 Mio. €
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Alibaba+20.5pt76.2%
- Moonshot-13.9pt13.9%
- Z.ai-8.0pt5.9%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
GEMINIBTC price on September 1
- $77,000 or above88%
- $77,250 or above75.5%
- $77,500 or above52%
+9 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 31.632,9 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 31.632,9 €
POLYMARKETNext Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by which date?
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- September 30+11.7pt96%
- September 15+8.9pt86%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
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- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Next Gemini Flash Model (3.8+): Text Arena Debut?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Top Chinese AI Company week of September 7th?
- Kalshi bewertet Alibaba mit 78% (Stand: 1. September 2026).
- Wann wird Top Chinese AI Company week of September 7th entschieden?
- Top Chinese AI Company week of September 7th soll am 14. September 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Top Chinese AI Company week of September 7th abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If Moonshot is the Highest Ranked Chinese AI Company model on Arena AI Text Score (Remove Style Control) on Sep 14, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.