Warnung zur DatenqualitätVeraltete Daten
Daten vom 01.09.2026, 21:00 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-3
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
September 30 96%-1.0ptFührend unter 10 Optionen
Marktqualitat
60 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
39.965,9 €
Liquidität
90.049,4 €
Hohe LiquiditätSpread
4.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadKommentare
0
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Stunde
Verzogert14. Aug. 26, 21:4631. Okt. 26, 23:59
Trends
0%
Regeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Flash model (3.8+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Gemini," be labeled "Flash" rather than "Flash-Lite," be positioned as Google's core general-purpose Gemini Flash model, and be designated as version 3.8 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors.
- For example, a version 3.8 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 3.6 Flash or Gemini 3.7 Flash would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 4 Flash, while models labeled "Flash-Lite" or which retain a version designation below 3.8, such as Gemini 3.7 Flash, including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify.
- Specialized modality variants, such as Gemini Flash Image, Gemini Flash-Lite Image, Gemini Omni Flash, or Flash TTS or Live models, will not qualify.
- A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups.
Offene Märkte
AIPOLYMARKETNext Mythos-Class Model released by which date?
- October 31+2.4pt99%
- September 30+4.0pt96%
- September 15+1.5pt89%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 934.166,4 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 194.961,7 €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+0.2pt68%
- ChatGPT-1.2pt12.6%
- Grok+0.4pt9.7%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 8,3 Mio. €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,95%
- October 31,90%
- October 15,-2.0pt68%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,9 Mio. €
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Alibaba+20.5pt76.2%
- Moonshot-13.9pt13.9%
- Z.ai-8.0pt5.9%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
GEMINIBTC price on September 1
- $77,000 or above88%
- $77,250 or above75.5%
- $77,500 or above52%
+9 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 31.632,9 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 31.632,9 €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra released by which date?
- October 31+1.0pt94%
- September 30-5.5pt81%
- September 2576%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
- GPT-6 released by which date?
- When will OpenAI release GPT-6?
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- In which month will Anthropic IPO?
- Next Mythos-Class Model released on?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Next Gemini Flash Model (3.8+): Text Arena Debut?
- Next Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released on?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by which date??
- Polymarket bewertet September 30 mit 96% (Stand: 1. September 2026).
- Wann wird Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by which date? entschieden?
- Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by which date? soll am 31. Oktober 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by which date? abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Flash model (3.8+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET).