Warnung zur DatenqualitätVeraltete Daten
Daten vom 01.09.2026, 21:00 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-3
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
September 2 53%+26.0ptFührend unter 16 Optionen
Marktqualitat
34 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
15.198 €
Liquidität
20.646,8 €
Mittlere LiquiditätSpread
13.0 pt
Breiter SpreadKommentare
0
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 2 Stunden
Veraltet31. Aug. 26, 20:0915. Sept. 26, 23:59
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Regeln
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Flash model (3.8+) is made available to the general public.
- A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Gemini," be labeled "Flash" rather than "Flash-Lite," be positioned as Google's core general-purpose Gemini Flash model, and be designated as version 3.8 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors.
- For example, a version 3.8 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 3.6 Flash or Gemini 3.7 Flash would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 4 Flash, while models labeled "Flash-Lite" or which retain a version designation below 3.8, such as Gemini 3.7 Flash, including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify.
- Specialized modality variants, such as Gemini Flash Image, Gemini Flash-Lite Image, Gemini Omni Flash, or Flash TTS or Live models, will not qualify.
- A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups.
- A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
