KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 97%
Marktqualitat
≤49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
35.683,9 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
3.0% / 3.9%
Spread
0.9 pt
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 3 Minuten
21. Nov. 24, 15:00 UTC1. Jan. 27, 15:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Israel and Qatar normalize relations during Trump's term?
KalshiIsrael and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
PolymarketIsrael and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
PolymarketIsrael and Syria normalize relations by which date?
PolymarketWhich countries will normalize relations with Israel before 2027?
KalshiWill Serbia normalize relations with Kosovo in 2026?
FutuurRegeln
If Israel and Qatar normalize diplomatic relations before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:The New York Times
- The agreement must be ratified as before Jan 1, 2027 to be included within the Payout Criterion.
- Examples of agreements that would be encompassed by the Payout Criterion include the agreements signed in 2020 and 2021 between Israel and Bahrain, the United Arab Emirates, and Morocco.
Offene Märkte
Middle EastPOLYMARKETIsrael closes its airspace by which date?
- September 30+18.3pt100%
- May 8-1.4pt0%
- May 31-1.2pt0%
+16 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 25,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 719.579,4 €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.6pt47.5%
- October 31-1.0pt28.7%
- September 30-2.0pt13.1%
+17 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot+3.4pt55.7%
- Benjamin Netanyahu-3.0pt27.8%
- Naftali Bennett8.3%
+16 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+3.0pt80%
- September 18+2.0pt75%
- September 11+12.0pt71%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- No+0.3pt98%
- Yes-0.3pt2%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 6,9 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 97.764,5 €
KALSHIWhen will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Before Jan 1, 2029-2.0pt69%
- Before Jul 1, 2028-1.0pt67%
- Before Jan 1, 2028-1.0pt64%
+11 weitere Ergebnisse
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Netanyahu out by which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by which date?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Israel and Qatar normalize relations before 2027??
- Kalshi bewertet No mit 97% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Israel and Qatar normalize relations before 2027? entschieden?
- Will Israel and Qatar normalize relations before 2027? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Israel and Qatar normalize relations before 2027? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If Israel and Qatar normalize diplomatic relations before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.