Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Anthropic 48%Führend unter 6 Optionen
Anthropic 48%Marktqualitat
30 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
4199,6 €
Mittlere LiquiditätTrader
26
Kommentare
0
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Minute
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Which company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketWhich company has the best AI model end of November?
PolymarketWhich company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of October?
PolymarketWhich AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?
KalshiWhich company has the best LLM at the end of 2026? (Artificial analysis leaderboard)
Manifold MarketsBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiRegeln
This set of markets predicts which company will own the AI model with the highest Arena Score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard published at lmarena.ai, specifically the table shown under the “Leaderboard” tab with style controls turned off.
- The relevant data will be the Arena Score values displayed on lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text, checked on December 31, 2026.
- If the leaderboard is temporarily unavailable at the scheduled check time, these markets will remain open and will resolve based on the first moment the leaderboard becomes available again.
- If two or more models are tied for the highest Arena Score at check time, the markets will be resolved in favor of the company whose name, as listed among the markets, comes first in alphabetical order.
- Futuur will resolve these markets based on the substantive ranking outcome shown by the leaderboard, not on minor formatting or presentation changes.