FutuurVerfügbarkeit prüfenVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenWarnung zur DatenqualitätKeine aktiven Kurse
Daten vom 26.10.2026, 05:55 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Between 93.1% and 96.0% (inclusive) 72%Führend unter 5 Optionen
Between 93.1% and 96.0% (inclusive) 72%Marktqualitat
25 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
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Liquidität
1182,7 €
Niedrige LiquiditätTrader
14
Kommentare
0
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 2 Minuten
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This event predicts the highest verified score achieved on the ARC-AGI-2 benchmark (Semi-Private Evaluation Set) by any AI system, as reported on the official ARC Prize leaderboard, at any time before January 1, 2027, 00:00:00 UTC.
- Each listed market below corresponds to one mutually exclusive percentage range of the maximum score; exactly one market will resolve "Yes".
- The Primary Designated Source is the ARC Prize official leaderboard (arcprize.org/leaderboard), specifically the highest verified ARC-AGI-2 semi-private-set score listed at any time before January 1, 2027, 00:00:00 UTC.
- Only scores that ARC Prize publicly verifies (i.e., submitted, evaluated, and listed on the leaderboard) count.
- Self-reported, unverified, or test-set results that have not been validated by the ARC Prize do not count.
- Markets whose ranges have been exceeded by a qualifying score may resolve "No" before the deadline.