KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
At least 50% 99%Führend unter 9 Optionen
Marktqualitat
57 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
506 €
Liquidität
16.493,7 €
Mittlere LiquiditätSpread
4.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 13 Minuten
20. Mai 26, 14:00 UTC31. Dez. 26, 15:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027?
KalshiHighest score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
PolymarketHighest Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
PolymarketHighest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
PolymarketWill Al achieve 85% or higher on the Humanity's Last Exam benchmark before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the first AI model that saturates Humanity's Last Exam be employable as a software engineer?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 50% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:Humanity's Last Exam
- If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 55% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 60% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 65% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 70% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 75% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Offene Märkte
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028-11.0pt62.4%
- 2027-3.5pt29.7%
- 2026-1.5pt7.9%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 241.307,2 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 128.006,7 €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-2.0pt88%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,+1.0pt85%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-1.7pt58.8%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt23.5%
- Grok+2.3pt7.8%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 9,1 Mio. €
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+1.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-max+3.0pt10%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking+1.0pt5%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+1.0pt80.6%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt10.2%
- Gemini+1.0pt2.8%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 349.424,1 €
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026??
- Kalshi bewertet At least 50% mit 99% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026? entschieden?
- Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026? soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 50% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.