KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
At least 70% 96%Führend unter 8 Optionen
Marktqualitat
41 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
2994,6 €
Mittlere LiquiditätSpread
6.0 pt
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 12 Minuten
20. Mai 26, 14:00 UTC31. Dez. 27, 15:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026?
KalshiHighest score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
PolymarketWill Al achieve 95% or higher on the Humanity's Last Exam benchmark before 2028?
Manifold MarketsHighest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
PolymarketHighest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
PolymarketIn what year will Al achieve 85% or higher score on the Humanity’s Last Exam benchmark?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 60% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:Humanity's Last Exam
- If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 65% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 70% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 75% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 80% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 85% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Offene Märkte
AIPOLYMARKETAI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- 2027+24.5pt89%
- 2026+59.0pt82%
- September 30, 2026+56.0pt63%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 93.738,4 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 59.491 €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+0.9pt58.1%
- ChatGPT+1.0pt22.9%
- Grok+3.2pt8.6%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 9,2 Mio. €
POLYMARKETOpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- 2027+53.0pt93%
- 2026+53.5pt73%
- September 30, 2026+51.5pt57%
KALSHIAnthropic market share this week
- Above 2.25%-7.0pt88%
- Above 2.45%79%
- Above 2.6%+16.0pt56%
+6 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 60.772,6 €
POLYMARKETWhich Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
- Hodge Conjecture50.5%
- Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer27.1%
- No solution by Dec 31, 202710.3%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 32.328,3 €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+1.0pt89%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,84%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 2,4 Mio. €
- Tencent market share this week
- Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- DeepSeek market share this week
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Time's Person of the Year for 2026
- OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027??
- Kalshi bewertet At least 70% mit 96% (Stand: 10. September 2026).
- Wann wird Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027? entschieden?
- Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027? soll am 31. Dezember 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 60% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.