Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
At least 70% 53%+7.0%Führend unter 8 Optionen
Marktqualitat
28 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
8,8 €
Liquidität
21,4 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
48.0% / 53.0%
Spread
10.4%
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 4 Minuten
20. Mai 26, 14:0031. Dez. 27, 15:00
Trends
Gewähltes Ergebnis
At least 70%53%
Verwandte Märkte
Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026?
0 €At least 50%: 89%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?
14.133,2 €Anthropic: 100%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Which company has second best AI model end of June?
7948,9 €Anthropic: 86%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Which company has the #2 AI model end of July? (Style Control On)
6426,5 €Anthropic: 62%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
OpenAI highest valuation by end of June 2026
146,8 €≥$0.6T: 100%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Apple announce a major AI model partnership (e.g., OpenAI, Google, or Anthropic) at WWDC 2026?
0 €Ja: 99.5%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSIn diesen Themen aktiv
Verwandte Nachrichten
Anthropic launches Claude Fable 5 with new safeguardsCrypto News
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JPMorgan plans longer-running AI agents for corporate workflows Crypto News
OpenAI Files for IPO, Targets Valuation Up to $850BBlockchain.News
OpenAI confidentially files to go public in the USCointelegraph
Nvidia expands South Korean AI partnerships across chips, cloud, and robotics Crypto NewsRegeln
If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 60% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 65% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 70% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 75% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 80% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 85% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.