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Daten vom 29.10.2026, 02:40 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Mittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
At least 60% · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Gespeicherter Preis
At least 60% 80.5%Führend unter 8 Optionen
At least 60% 80.5%Marktqualitat
30 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
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Open Interest
3678,2 $
Mittleres Open InterestGeld / Brief
— / —
At least 60%Spread
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Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Stunde
Verzogert20. Mai 26, 14:00 UTC31. Dez. 27, 15:00 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Markttiefe · At least 60%
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026?
KalshiHighest score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
PolymarketWill Al achieve 95% or higher on the Humanity's Last Exam benchmark before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Al achieve 85% or higher on the Humanity's Last Exam benchmark before 2028?
Manifold MarketsHighest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
PolymarketHighest Meta score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
PolymarketRegeln
If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 75% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:Humanity's Last Exam
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- At least 60%
- If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 60% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 65%
- If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 65% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 70%
- If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 70% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 75%
- If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 75% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 80%
- If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 80% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 85%
- If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 85% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 90%
- If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 90% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 95%
- If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 95% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.