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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. KI
  3. Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?

1.1% (24h)KITechnikOne-Off18T
PolymarketPolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Anthropic
Anthropic 100%+77.0%
Führend unter 11 Optionen
Marktqualitat

73 / 100

Mittlere Qualität
24h-Volumen

13.560,7 €

Liquidität

76.235 €

Hohe Liquidität
Geld / Brief

3.0% / 3.7%

Spread

23.3%

Breiter Spread
7d-Änderung

-5.7%

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 6 Minuten

22. Dez. 25, 22:3730. Juni 26, 0:00

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

OpenAI3%

Regeln

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
  • Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
  • If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
  • The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/.
  • If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again.

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In diesen Themen aktiv

BitcoinBTC$62,777.23+2.12%EthereumETH$1,655.03+1.41%SolanaSOL$65.12+1.41%DogecoinDOGE$0.0848+1.32%BNBBNB$596.09+1.69%XRPXRP$1.11+0.25%

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Regeln

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
  • Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
  • If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
  • The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/.
  • If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again.