Dieser Markt wurde entschieden: Anthropic (99%)
Entschieden: 01.07.2026, 00:05
Vom Anbieter verifizierte Auflösung
CoinRithm hat anbietergestützte Nachweise für Gewinner und Auflösungszeit dieses Marktes.
Abwicklungsnachweis
- Aktuelles Ergebnis
- Anthropic
- Erfasst
- 25.07.2026, 08:31
- Beobachtungen
- 1
- Revisionen
- 0
- Methode
- resolution_watch
Aktuelle Community-PrognoseAnthropic 99%+10.2ptFührend unter 8 Optionen
Prognostiker
39
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 27 Tagen
Veraltet4. Feb. 26, 19:2130. Juni 26, 23:59
Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
Google4.5%
OpenAI6.3%
xAI0.6%
Anthropic99%
Meta0.5%
Alibaba0.2%
DeepSeek0.3%
Other0.2%
99%
0.2%
0.3%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
Dieser Markt ist geschlossen. Demo-Trading ist nur bei offenen Märkten verfügbar.
Plattformen vergleichen· Anthropic
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen
Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket
Which company has best AI model end of June?
0.5 ptsGeschlossen
Aufgelöst
Anthropic (100%)
+0.5pt100%
0%
-0.1pt0%
+16 weitere Ergebnisse
49 • Niedrige QualitätEnger SpreadNiedrige Liquidität
Gesamtvolumen19,6 Mio. €
24h-Volumen5580,6 €
POLYMARKETAuch verfügbar auf Polymarket
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?
0.1 ptsGeschlossen
Aufgelöst
Anthropic (100%)
+77.0pt100%
-0.6pt0%
-0.1pt0%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
49 • Niedrige QualitätEnger SpreadNiedrige Liquidität
Gesamtvolumen1,5 Mio. €
24h-Volumen5566 €
POLYMARKETRegeln
Resolution is based on the chatbot arena LLM leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control), specifically the company with the highest Arena Score in the Overall category, without style control or show deprecated, at the end of June 30th, 11:59PM ET.
- We'll follow polymarket's tiebreak rule:
- If two models are tied for the highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
- @/Bayesian/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-hnNnI6lALy
- @/Bayesian/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-LIC6U8LQ9R
- @/Bayesian/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-0PE9Utg8Qg
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Verwandte Märkte
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
59.638 €↑$1.1T: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Best AI at the end of 2026?
46.399,6 €Muse Spark: 2%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Which company has best AI model end of July?
28.404,1 €Anthropic: 99%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETWill any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by September 30?
11.909,9 €1510: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
What will happen to Hugging Face?
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MANIFOLD MARKETS
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MANIFOLD MARKETSIn diesen Themen aktiv
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Resolution is based on the chatbot arena LLM leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control), specifically the company with the highest Arena Score in the Overall category, without style control or show deprecated, at the end of June 30th, 11:59PM ET.
- We'll follow polymarket's tiebreak rule:
- If two models are tied for the highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
- @/Bayesian/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-hnNnI6lALy
- @/Bayesian/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-LIC6U8LQ9R
- @/Bayesian/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-0PE9Utg8Qg