FutuurVerfügbarkeit prüfenVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Ja 94%
Ja 94%Marktqualitat
32 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
593,7 €
Niedrige LiquiditätTrader
3
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Aktualisiert vor 1 Minute
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
PolymarketWhat year will Kim Jong-Un cease being Supreme Leader of North Korea?
Manifold MarketsKim Jong Un or descendant isn't supreme leader in North Korea anytime through 2028
Manifold MarketsWill Kim Ju-ae become the next leader of North Korea after Kim Jong-un?
Manifold MarketsDonald Trump to Meet Kim Jong-Un in 2026?
FutuurKim Jong Un visits the US in 2026?
PolymarketRegeln
This event predicts whether Kim Jong-un will remain the supreme leader of North Korea through December 31, 2026.
- For this market, Kim Jong-un will be considered no longer supreme leader if North Korea officially declares he is no longer Chairman of the State Affairs Commission (SAC), or if another person is officially recognized by the North Korean state as commander-in-chief with greater authority.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official North Korean state announcements regarding leadership positions.
- If Kim Jong-un is still officially recognized as supreme leader through the end of December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- Temporary absences due to health or other reasons will not affect resolution as long as he retains official recognition.