Religion
Religion için toplam 114 piyasa kaydedildi, sonuçlananlar dahil. Bir piyasa birden fazla konu altında görünebilir.
Açık Piyasalar
104
Toplam Hacim
$65,982,860
24s Hacim
$25,923
Toplam Likidite
$674,075
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
3ay
99%
1%
Yüksek kalite (89)Dar spreadYüksek likiditeSonuca yakın
Toplam Hacim$65,6 Mn
24s Hacim$18,2 B
POLYMARKET
Will California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
20.0 puan (24s)21g
90%
-20.0pt10%
Orta kalite (65)Orta spreadOrta likiditeSonuca yakın
Toplam Hacim$12,3 B
24s Hacim$7,6 B
KALSHI
What countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026?
17.0 puan (24s)3ay
92%
88%
88%
+9 daha fazla sonuç
Orta kalite (50)Geniş spreadYüksek likiditeSonuca yakın
Toplam Hacim$192 B
24s Hacim$69
KALSHI
Who will the next Pope be?
0.8 puan (24s)
5%
-0.8pt4%
4%
+4 daha fazla sonuç
Orta kalite (59)Dar spreadYüksek likidite
Toplam Hacim$137,2 B
24s Hacim$5
KALSHI
Will Taylor Swift meet with Pope Leo XIV before 2027?
3ay
95%
5%
Düşük kalite (≤49)Orta spreadOrta likiditeSonuca yakın
Toplam Hacim$20,7 B
24s Hacim—
KALSHI
Will the Catholic Church publicly excommunicate anyone else in 2026?
0.5 puan (24s)3ay
-0.5pt89.1%
+0.5pt10.9%
Düşük kalite (≤49)Orta spreadDüşük likiditeSığ piyasa
Toplam Hacim$927,7
24s Hacim—
POLYMARKET
Vatican III in 2026?
91%
9%
Düşük kalite (33)Geniş spreadDüşük likiditeSığ piyasa
Toplam Hacim$10,3
24s Hacim—
POLYMARKET
Restrictions on the use of the Traditional Latin Mass in the Catholic Church: loosened in 2026?
3ay
81%
19%
Düşük kalite (33)Spread bilinmiyorDüşük likiditeSığ piyasa
Toplam Hacim$3,6
24s Hacim—
FUTUURPope to allow women to preach masses by the end of 2026?
3ay
96%
4%
Düşük kalite (31)Spread bilinmiyorDüşük likiditeSığ piyasa
Toplam Hacim$0,1
24s Hacim—
FUTUUR
Will Trump post another religious image deifying himself?
2y
70%
30%
Topluluk tahmini263 tahminciTür: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Will the Pope excommunicate JD Vance before 2028?
1y
96%
4%
Retail prediction exchange
PREDICTITGutsickGibbon has agreed to teach evolution to creationist Will Duffy. Will Pastor Duffy change his mind? (Rules below)
1y
55.3%
44.7%
Topluluk tahmini18 tahminciTür: binary
19 saat önceMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill the next pope convene Vatican 3?
78.9%
21.1%
Topluluk tahmini12 tahminciTür: binary
21 saat önceMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSCatholic Church in Germany ordains women before Christmas 2028?
2y
85.7%
14.3%
Topluluk tahmini12 tahminciTür: binary
21 saat önceMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Will the Catholic and Eastern Orthodox Churches reconcile before 2050?
82.6%
17.4%
Topluluk tahmini20 tahminciTür: binary
22 saat önceMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill membership in the LDS church decline YoY in any year between now and 2030
4y
76.6%
23.4%
Topluluk tahmini46 tahminciTür: binary
59 dakika önceMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill @Austin Chen still believe in God at the end of 2026?
3ay
88%
12%
Topluluk tahmini21 tahminciTür: binary
1 saat önceMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
What percentage of humans will follow Islam in 2100?
73%
27%
Topluluk tahmini5 tahminciTür: binary
3 saat önceMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill there be a trend spike for the term "Animism" before 2035?
8y
86.7%
13.3%
Topluluk tahmini8 tahminciTür: binary
4 saat önceMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Will Robin Hanson adopt a religion by mid 2028
1y
94.2%
5.8%
Topluluk tahmini8 tahminciTür: binary
5 saat önceMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Scientology loses IRS Tax-exempt status
2y
79.2%
20.8%
Topluluk tahmini16 tahminciTür: binary
5 saat önceMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Joe Rogan convert to Islam by the end of 2030?
4y
95.6%
4.4%
Topluluk tahmini20 tahminciTür: binary
5 saat önceMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Jesus Christ return in 2026?
3ay
99%
1%
Topluluk tahmini44 tahminciTür: binary
6 saat önceMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Pope Leo XIV attend a professional sports game in the USA?
3ay
95%
5%
Topluluk tahmini38 tahminciTür: binary
9 saat önceMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Will the LDS Church (Mormons) allow for gay marriage in their temple before the end of 2030?
4y
95.2%
4.8%
Topluluk tahmini19 tahminciTür: binary
9 saat önceMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Jose Luis Ricon have an arranged marriage?
75%
25%
Topluluk tahmini7 tahminciTür: binary
10 saat önceMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill the next pope be Italian?
2y
66%
34%
Topluluk tahmini10 tahminciTür: binary
10 saat önceMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Will Jose Luis ricon get a tradwife by 2044
18y
54.8%
45.2%
Topluluk tahmini1 tahminciTür: binary
10 saat önceMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSPope Leo XIV issues a document addressing birth control teaching by December 31, 2026?
3ay
79.3%
20.7%
Topluluk tahmini18 tahminciTür: binary
10 saat önceMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Jesus Christ return by 2030 (according to the pope)?
3y
98.4%
1.6%
Topluluk tahmini25 tahminciTür: binary
11 saat önceMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Will the Catholic Church train a PopeGPT and endorse it as doctrinally sound by end of 2027?
3ay
95%
5%
Topluluk tahmini53 tahminciTür: binary
13 saat önceMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSBart Ehrman Will Convert to Esoteric/Gnostic Christianity before 2030?
3y
90.3%
9.7%
Topluluk tahmini3 tahminciTür: binary
14 saat önceMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSDonald Trump becomes a Pope-like figure?
9y
91.3%
8.7%
Topluluk tahmini30 tahminciTür: binary
15 saat önceMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
What percentage of humans will follow Christianity in 2100?
70.8%
29.2%
Topluluk tahmini11 tahminciTür: binary
15 saat önceMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS[ACX 2026] Will restrictions on the use of the Traditional Latin Mass in the Catholic Church be loosened during 2026?
3ay
88.6%
11.4%
Topluluk tahmini18 tahminciTür: binary
13 saat önceMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill the percentage of U.S. adults identifying as Christian in the U.S. drop below 60% by the end of 2026?
3ay
80.7%
19.3%
Topluluk tahmini55 tahminciTür: binary
16 saat önceMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Joe Schmid be Catholic end of 2026?
3ay
93.7%
6.3%
Topluluk tahmini11 tahminciTür: binary
13 saat önceMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill the percentage of Americans identifying as Christian drop below 20% before 2100?
63%
37%
Topluluk tahmini4 tahminciTür: binary
3 saat önceMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill jesus respawn before 2027????
3ay
94.5%
5.5%
Topluluk tahmini15 tahminciTür: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSIs Donald Trump the Antichrist?
2y
73.9%
26.1%
Topluluk tahmini20 tahminciTür: binary
7 saat önceMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSIn 100 years (2123) will Trump worship will be a thing?
75.1%
24.9%
Topluluk tahmini16 tahminciTür: binary
8 saat önceMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Will the first ASI proclaim Christianity true?
3ay
90%
10%
Topluluk tahmini55 tahminciTür: binary
8 saat önceMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill the second coming of Jesus Christ happen within the next 100 years?
96%
4%
Topluluk tahmini15 tahminciTür: binary
9 saat önceMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill "Church Planting: When Venture Capital Finds Jesus" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
4ay
84.1%
15.9%
Topluluk tahmini2 tahminciTür: binary
9 saat önceMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Bentham's Bulldog be Catholic end of 2026?
3ay
88.9%
11.1%
Topluluk tahmini7 tahminciTür: binary
23 saat önceMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Will @aella revert to Christianity within 5 years?
2y
96.1%
3.9%
Topluluk tahmini54 tahminciTür: binary
11 saat önceMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Will Alex O'Connor convert to Christinanity before 2027?
3ay
91.9%
8.1%
Topluluk tahmini18 tahminciTür: binary
11 saat önceMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Will I (Aella) convert to Christianity by the end of 2028?
2y
96.9%
3.1%
Topluluk tahmini192 tahminciTür: binary
53 dakika önceMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS