Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 97.8%
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192
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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49 dakika önce güncellendi
Gecikmeli30 Ara 23 20:07 UTC1 Oca 29 05:59 UTC
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Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will Usha Vance convert to Christianity before the election?
Manifold MarketsWill Aella convert to sexually conservative Christianity by the end of [year]?
Manifold MarketsWill @aella revert to Christianity within 5 years?
Manifold MarketsWill the following people convert to Christianity before 2030? [Add Answers]
Manifold MarketsWhat countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026?
KalshiWill the percentage of Americans identifying as Christian drop below 20% before 2100?
Manifold MarketsKurallar
Justin Murphy predicts I'll reconvert to Christianity: https://twitter.com/jmrphy/status/1741150091874902347 For the purposes of this market (based on Justin's description), it cannot be liberal Christianity, it has to be a version of Christianity that requires some sort of sexual conservatism.
- edit: Made this before seeing someone else beat me to it: https://manifold.markets/jacobsaysheyyy/will-aella-revert-to-christianity-w?r=amFjb2JzYXlzaGV5eXk
