PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosDados desatualizados
Dados de 1 de set. de 2026, 20:40 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidade implícita atual
September 30 4%-0.3ptLíder entre 6 opções
Qualidade do mercado
42 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
12,9 €
Liquidez
1,9 mil €
Baixa liquidezSpread
1.4 pt
Spread apertadoComentários
1
Variação 7d
-0.1 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 1 hora
Atrasado29/01/26, 3:351/10/26, 3:59
Tendências
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Regras
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Havrylivka, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, (48.072788° N, 36.523524° E) between market creation and the named outcome, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.
- Territory will be considered captured if any part of Havrylivka is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
- Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
- For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
- If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
- Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Mercados abertos
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Russia enter Havrylivka by which date??
- A Polymarket cota September 30 em 4% em 1 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Russia enter Havrylivka by which date? é resolvido?
- Will Russia enter Havrylivka by which date? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de outubro de 2026.
- Como Will Russia enter Havrylivka by which date? é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Havrylivka, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, (48.072788° N, 36.523524° E) between market creation and the named outcome, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.