PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaProbabilidade implícita atual
December 31 21%-11.5%Líder entre 7 opções
Qualidade do mercado
52 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
609,6 €
Liquidez
7,5 mil €
Liquidez médiaCompra / Venda
11.0% / 15.0%
Spread
36.4%
Spread amploVariação 7d
+1.0%
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 8 minutos
29/01/26, 3:4331/12/26, 0:00
Tendências
0%
0%
0%
0%
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
December 3121%
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 48.0728° N, 36.5235° E in Havrylivka by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
- The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
- If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
- For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
- If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
- Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.