PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
September 30 32%-5.5ptLíder entre 3 opções
Qualidade do mercado
58 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
21,8 mil €
Liquidez
1,2 mil €
Baixa liquidezSpread
3.0 pt
Spread moderadoComentários
0
Variação 7d
+1.5 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 11 minutos
18/08/26, 23:3630/09/26, 23:59
Tendências
Regras
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran targets Bahrain through a qualifying military action between market creation and the listed date, Arabia Standard Time (AST).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Iran, directed at Bahrain.
- An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones.
- A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.
- The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action: Surface-to-air missile strikes; Small-arms fire; Ground incursions; Cyber operations; Naval gunfire and artillery fire; Howitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems); Minor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes; Any threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.
Mercados abertos
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Iran target Bahrain by which date??
- A Polymarket cota September 30 em 32% em 28 de agosto de 2026.
- Quando Will Iran target Bahrain by which date? é resolvido?
- Will Iran target Bahrain by which date? deverá ser resolvido em 30 de setembro de 2026.
- Como Will Iran target Bahrain by which date? é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran targets Bahrain through a qualifying military action between market creation and the listed date, Arabia Standard Time (AST).