PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Hike 82%
Qualidade do mercado
54 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
19,4 €
Liquidez
2,4 mil €
Liquidez médiaCompra / Venda
80.0% / 84.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Spread moderadoComentários
0
Variação 7d
+0.5 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 16 minutos
14/07/26, 16:22 UTC31/12/28, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will avg rate of change of US debt(as % of current debt)have higher YoY increase during Trump's presidency than Biden's?
Manifold MarketsPeople's Bank of China rate change by September 30?
PolymarketFed rate decision in September 2026
Robinhood (Rothera)How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
PolymarketFed rate cut before 2027?
KalshiNext Fed rate hike?
KalshiRegras
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate.
- The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
- This market will resolve to “Hike” if the first FOMC decision to change the upper bound of the target federal funds rate between market creation and December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET is one that increases the specified rate compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
- This market will resolve to “Cut” if the first FOMC decision to change the upper bound of the target federal funds rate between market creation and December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET is one that decreases the specified rate compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
- If the FOMC announces no decision changing the specified rate between market creation and December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “50-50”.
- Any decision changing the specified rate within the specified timeframe, including emergency and non-scheduled decisions, will qualify.
Mercados abertos
FedKALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+3.0pt53.9%
- Fed maintains rate-1.0pt43.3%
- Hike >25bps1%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 35 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 1,7 mi
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+1.0pt54%
- No change-2.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase+0.3pt1%
+2 mais resultados
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+5.0pt52.4%
- Fed maintains rate-4.0pt42%
- Hike >25bps-2.0pt2.4%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.2pt93.9%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.8pt4%
- 2 (50 bps)-0.4pt2%
+10 mais resultados
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts+0.6pt91.1%
- Exactly 1 cut+0.1pt7.9%
- Exactly 2 cuts-0.2pt1%
+18 mais resultados
- Volume total
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- No change66.7%
- 25 bps increase30.4%
- 25 bps decrease-0.5pt2%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- Next Fed rate hike?
- Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- Fed rate cut before 2027?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- What will Kevin Warsh say during his September press conference?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?
- Fed Decision in December?
Criptos relacionadas
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de What will be the next Fed rate change??
- A Polymarket cota Hike em 82% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando What will be the next Fed rate change? é resolvido?
- What will be the next Fed rate change? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2028.
- Como What will be the next Fed rate change? é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate.