Ukraine strikes another tanker in Caspian Sea by which date?
3.9 pts (24h)GeopolíticaOne-OffMiddle EastRussia / Ukraine22d
PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
September 30 9%-0.5ptLíder entre 3 opções
Qualidade do mercado
34 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
16,7 mil €
Liquidez médiaComentários
0
Variação 7d
-17.9 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 11 minutos
26/07/26, 22:34 UTC30/09/26, 20:59 UTC
Tendências
0%
Regras
On July 25, 2026, Ukraine said it struck the cargo vessels Port Olya 2 and Begey in the Caspian Sea, alleging that they were involved in transporting military cargo between Russia and Iran.
- You can read more about the strikes here: https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/russia-says-ukraine-killed-11-tourist-camp-ukraine-strikes-russian-refinery-2026-07-25/.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a strike against any vessel in the Caspian Sea attributed to Ukraine between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Eastern European Time (EET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, naval drones, naval guns, artillery, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) which impact a vessel anywhere in the Caspian Sea, regardless of flag, ownership, or damage level.
- Strikes attributed to Ukraine by media or third parties will qualify, regardless of whether Ukraine publicly denies involvement or if definitive attribution is not confirmed.