PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaProbabilidade implícita atualSim 25%-0.0%
Qualidade do mercado
89 / 100
Alta qualidadeVolume 24h
203,3 mil €
Liquidez
122,4 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venda
24.0% / 25.0%
Spread
4.2%
Spread moderadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 1 minuto
13/06/26, 21:4915/07/26, 0:00
Tendências
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
Yes25%
Também disponível em Manifold Markets
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? [Polymarket]
23d
24%
76%
Previsão da comunidade45 previsoresTipo: binary
Volume total6,1 mil €
Volume 24h1,4 mil €
MANIFOLD MARKETSRegras
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and July 15, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published.
- If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and July 15, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published.
- If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.