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  1. Mercados de Previsão
  2. Política
  3. Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026?
Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026?

Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026?

35.5% (24h)PolíticaOne-OffEleiçãoLatin AmericaCrime & Justice6m
PolymarketPolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
Sim
Sim 16%-0.3%
Qualidade do mercado

68 / 100

Qualidade média
Volume 24h

2,7 mil €

Liquidez

13,5 mil €

Liquidez média
Compra / Venda

15.0% / 16.0%

Spread

6.7%

Spread moderado
Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 2 minutos

10/06/26, 0:1131/12/26, 0:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

Yes16%

Regras

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pedro Castillo receives a presidential pardon, commutation, right of grace, humanitarian pardon, or other formal grant of clemency from the President of Peru by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • A qualifying grant of clemency must be officially issued by the President of Peru and must relieve Castillo, in whole or in part, from criminal liability, criminal proceedings, conviction, sentence, or criminal penalties in connection with any criminal case.
  • A qualifying grant of clemency will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later challenged, revoked, annulled, or declared invalid.
  • Court rulings, acquittals, dismissals, legislative amnesties, prosecutorial decisions, prison transfers, releases from custody, or other actions that do not involve a formal presidential grant of clemency will not qualify.
  • The primary resolution source will be official information from the Government of Peru.

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Regras

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pedro Castillo receives a presidential pardon, commutation, right of grace, humanitarian pardon, or other formal grant of clemency from the President of Peru by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • A qualifying grant of clemency must be officially issued by the President of Peru and must relieve Castillo, in whole or in part, from criminal liability, criminal proceedings, conviction, sentence, or criminal penalties in connection with any criminal case.
  • A qualifying grant of clemency will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later challenged, revoked, annulled, or declared invalid.
  • Court rulings, acquittals, dismissals, legislative amnesties, prosecutorial decisions, prison transfers, releases from custody, or other actions that do not involve a formal presidential grant of clemency will not qualify.
  • The primary resolution source will be official information from the Government of Peru.