Will any January 6th participant pardoned/commuted by Trump be responsible for a homicide before 1/20/2027?
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica dos EUACrime e justiça2mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 62.3%
Previsores
9
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 50 minutos
Atrasado24/01/25, 20:54 UTC21/01/27, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
Regras
Background President Trump has the pardoned or commuted the sentences of individuals involved in the January 6th Capitol riot, including individuals convicted for violent acts that occurred during those events.
- Resolution Criteria This market will resolve YES if:
- Any pardoned/commuted individual is found legally responsible (through conviction or guilty plea) for a homicide that occurs between their pardon/commutation and January 20, 2027
- The homicide can be of any type (first degree, second degree, manslaughter, etc.)
- The market will resolve NO if:
- No pardoned/commuted January 6th participant is found legally responsible for a homicide during the specified timeframe
