PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
December 31 97%+0.1ptLíder entre 4 opções
Qualidade do mercado
62 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
2,3 mil €
Liquidez
6 mil €
Liquidez médiaSpread
2.0 pt
Spread moderadoComentários
0
Variação 7d
+20.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 5 minutos
1/07/26, 22:48 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
0%
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Regras
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet.
- Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants.
- Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
- A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups.
Mercados abertos
AI
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-12.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 135,2 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 102,7 mil
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- 2028+6.5pt62.1%
- 2027-3.5pt28.4%
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POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 9,1 mi
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 325 mil
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-2.5pt66%
- 1490+-9.0pt51%
- 1500+-3.0pt23%
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- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Next Claude Sonnet released by which date??
- A Polymarket cota December 31 em 97% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Next Claude Sonnet released by which date? é resolvido?
- Next Claude Sonnet released by which date? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Next Claude Sonnet released by which date? é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET).