PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Não 98%+0.3pt
Qualidade do mercado
≤49 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
813,2 €
Baixa liquidezCompra / Venda
2.1% / 2.4%
Spread
0.3 pt
Spread apertadoComentários
5
Variação 7d
-0.5 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 6 minutos
13/11/25, 21:18 UTC29/01/27, 00:00 UTC
Tendências
Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will the United States experience negative GDP growth during Q1, Q2, or Q3 2026?
Futuur[ACX 2026] Will the United States experience negative GDP growth during Q1, Q2, or Q3 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the FOMC cut rates before Inflation minus Unemployment Rate is below negative 4%?
Manifold MarketsNegative growth in Brazil's GDP in any quarter of 2026?
FutuurJapan GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ Annualized)?
PolymarketGDP growth in 2026
PolymarketRegras
This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP growth rate for the full year 2026, as derived from the 'Advance Estimate' for Q4 2026, with a release by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) expected in January 2027, reports a growth rate below 0.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'.
- The GDP release will be available at: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product.
- Only the first available GDP report labeled as the 'Advance Estimate' for Q4 2026, which provides the initial full-year 2026 GDP growth rate, will be used for resolution.
- Any subsequent revisions or updates to the data will not be considered.
Mercados abertos
EconomyPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt54%
- No change-3.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 89,9 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 1,7 mi
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 541,2 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 30,7 mil
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%99%
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+12 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 334,2 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 12,8 mil
KALSHIUS government budget balance in 2026
- Above -8.5% of GDP97%
- Above -8.0% of GDP71%
- Above -7.5% of GDP58%
+4 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 10,7 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 10,7 mil
KALSHIGovernment shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- No98%
- Yes2%
- Volume total
- € 612,5 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 6,9 mil
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No95%
- Yes+1.0pt5%
- Volume total
- € 2,9 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 5,3 mil
- Recession in 2027?
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- France’s government budget balance in 2026
- United Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
- Germany’s government budget balance in 2026
- CPI in September
- CPI core in August
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- Unemployment in September
Criptos relacionadas
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Negative GDP growth in 2026??
- A Polymarket cota No em 98% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Negative GDP growth in 2026? é resolvido?
- Negative GDP growth in 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 29 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Negative GDP growth in 2026? é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP growth rate for the full year 2026, as derived from the 'Advance Estimate' for Q4 2026, with a release by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) expected in January 2027, reports a growth rate below 0.