France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by which date?
0.3 pts (24h)GeopolíticaOne-Off3m
PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
December 31 19%+13.5ptLíder entre 3 opções
Qualidade do mercado
63 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
2,2 mil €
Liquidez
28,7 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
3.0 pt
Spread moderadoComentários
0
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 14 minutos
16/09/26, 02:24 UTC31/12/26, 20:59 UTC
Tendências
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if France, the United Kingdom, or Germany takes a qualifying military action against Yemen by the specified date, 11:59 PM Yemen Standard Time.
- Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”
- A qualifying military action by any one of France, the United Kingdom, or Germany will be sufficient for this market to resolve to “Yes.”
- A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by France, the United Kingdom, or Germany, that directly impacts Yemen.
- An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones.
- A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.