PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
October 31 10%-4.5pt
Qualidade do mercado
34 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
163,6 €
Liquidez
1,4 mil €
Baixa liquidezCompra / Venda
5.0% / 14.0%
Spread
9.0 pt
Spread amploComentários
0
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 11 minutos
10/09/26, 17:38 UTC1/11/26, 03:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if public access to OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra model is generally removed in the United States for any reason between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A general removal of public access means the model is no longer available for use by the general public in the United States through any of OpenAI's ordinary public channels, including its consumer applications and self-serve API.
- Removal from a single channel while another public channel retains access, removals applying only to limited groups (e.g., foreign nationals), payment or pricing changes, and restrictions on particular capabilities or features of an otherwise accessible model will not qualify.
- A general removal qualifies even if access is retained by limited groups or organizations (e.g., whitelisted firms, approved-access programs, or individuals with security clearance).
- Removal of individual modes, snapshots, or reduced-capability variants will not qualify while the model itself remains publicly accessible; however, if only reduced-capability variants (e.g., mini or nano variants) remain accessible, the model will be considered removed.
Mercados abertos
AIPOLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Alibaba-3.5pt84.6%
- Moonshot+4.7pt10.6%
- Z.ai+0.3pt1.9%
+8 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 410,1 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 56,4 mil
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+0.4pt70%
- ChatGPT-0.8pt15%
- Gemini+0.1pt7%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 9,7 mi
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+4.0pt87%
- December 15,+1.0pt84%
- November 30,+6.0pt79%
+7 mais resultados
KALSHITencent market share this week
- Above 2.7%91%
- Above 4.5%+19.0pt41%
- Above 5.6%+10.0pt20%
+6 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 58,4 mil
KALSHIDeepSeek market share this week
- Above 22.7%99%
- Above 21.7%99%
- Above 23.6%-1.0pt95%
+6 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 70 mil
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.25T+1.3pt100%
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
+10 mais resultados
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Best AI this week
- OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- OpenAI market share this week
- Next Claude Opus released by which date?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Best AI in Sep 2026?
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- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Astra removed from public access by which date??
- A Polymarket cota October 31 em 10% em 17 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Astra removed from public access by which date? é resolvido?
- Astra removed from public access by which date? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de novembro de 2026.
- Como Astra removed from public access by which date? é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market will resolve to "Yes" if public access to OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra model is generally removed in the United States for any reason between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.