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  1. Mercados de Previsão
  2. Geopolítica
  3. Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?

Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?

One-OffGeopolíticaEurope6m
PolymarketPolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
Sim
Sim 7%
Qualidade do mercado

44 / 100

Baixa qualidade
Volume 24h

4,5 €

Liquidez

17,9 mil €

Liquidez média
Compra / Venda

6.0% / 7.0%

Spread

16.7%

Spread amplo
Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 4 minutos

8/12/25, 0:1231/12/26, 0:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

Yes7%

Regras

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any European Union (EU) member state withdraws from the EU by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • An EU member state will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Ativos nestes tópicos

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Regras

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any European Union (EU) member state withdraws from the EU by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • An EU member state will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.