PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
125-130m 22.3%-0.5ptLíder entre 11 opçõesAjustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
Qualidade do mercado
67 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
15,9 €
Liquidez
109,1 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
2.0 pt
Spread moderadoComentários
0
Variação 7d
-1.8 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 2 minutos
20/02/26, 17:41 UTC3/11/26, 00:00 UTC
Tendências
0%
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
PolymarketIf Musk registers a new party before the 2026 midterms, what % of House votes will it win?
Manifold Markets2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)
KalshiWhich party will win the U.S. House?
KalshiDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Polymarket2028 Republican presidential nominee
KalshiRegras
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
- Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
- The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/).
Comparação de fontes de previsão
- Também disponível em Kalshi — 2026 Midterms: U.S. House turnout? · 125 million and above 22%
Mercados abertos
PoliticsPOLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+2.6pt38.4%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
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- Volume 24h
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- Flávio Bolsonaro+7.9pt54%
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KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.4%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.3%
- Gavin Newsom14.3%
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KALSHIMaine Senate winner?
- Troy Jackson67.3%
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- Volume 24h
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KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.0pt85.2%
- Republican Party-1.0pt14.8%
- Volume total
- € 25,5 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 384,3 mil
KALSHIOhio Senate winner?
- Sherrod Brown-2.0pt51.5%
- Jon Husted+1.0pt48.5%
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- Volume 24h
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de 2026 Midterms: House Turnout?
- A Polymarket cota 125-130m em 22% em 10 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando 2026 Midterms: House Turnout é resolvido?
- 2026 Midterms: House Turnout deverá ser resolvido em 3 de novembro de 2026.
- Como 2026 Midterms: House Turnout é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
- Onde mais 2026 Midterms: House Turnout está listado?
- A mesma pergunta também está listada em Kalshi.