KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
125 million and above 22%Líder entre 9 opções
Qualidade do mercado
≤49 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
35,4 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
1.4 pt
Spread apertadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 12 minutos
21/02/26, 21:00 UTC3/11/27, 15:00 UTC
Tendências
0%
0%
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)
Kalshi2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
PolymarketIf Musk registers a new party before the 2026 midterms, what % of House votes will it win?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the U.S. House?
KalshiPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
PolymarketTX-15 House winner?
KalshiRegras
If the total vote count in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections is 89,999,999 and below, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:the Clerk of the House
- The vote count refers to the officially certified results from the relevant election authority.
- Provisional, absentee, early, mail-in, or electronic ballots are included only if reflected in the official certification.
- In preferential or ranked-choice systems, the contract resolves based on the vote count identified as the official result by the certifying authority.
- If the election is held in multiple phases, the contract resolves on the certified aggregate total.
- If a runoff forms part of the certified result, it is encompassed.
Comparação de fontes de previsão
Mercados abertos
PoliticsPOLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+2.6pt38.4%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 112,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 1,2 mi
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro+7.9pt54%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-9.0pt44%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt2%
+16 mais resultados
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.4%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.3%
- Gavin Newsom14.3%
+45 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 184,8 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 891,3 mil
KALSHIMaine Senate winner?
- Troy Jackson67.3%
- Susan Collins32.7%
- Volume total
- € 4,6 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 505,9 mil
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.0pt85.2%
- Republican Party-1.0pt14.8%
- Volume total
- € 25,5 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 384,3 mil
KALSHIOhio Senate winner?
- Sherrod Brown-2.0pt51.5%
- Jon Husted+1.0pt48.5%
- Volume total
- € 2,6 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 358,3 mil
- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- Iowa Senate winner?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Texas Senate winner?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- TX-15 House winner?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
- Putin out as President of Russia by which date?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de 2026 Midterms: U.S. House turnout??
- A Kalshi cota 125 million and above em 22% em 10 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando 2026 Midterms: U.S. House turnout? é resolvido?
- 2026 Midterms: U.S. House turnout? deverá ser resolvido em 3 de novembro de 2027.
- Como 2026 Midterms: U.S. House turnout? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the total vote count in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections is 89,999,999 and below, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Onde mais 2026 Midterms: U.S. House turnout? está listado?
- A mesma pergunta também está listada em Polymarket.