2026 Midterms: U.S. House turnout?
1.0 pts (24h)PolíticaOne-OffPolítica dos EUAEleiçãoEleições de meio de mandato dos EUA 20265m
KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatórioDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPonto médio do livro selecionado
125 million and above · —
A carregar o livro selecionado…
—
Preço registado
125 million and above 27.5%Líder entre 9 opções
125 million and above 27.5%Qualidade do mercado
72 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
15,4 mil €
Contratos em aberto
92,3 mil US$
Contratos em aberto: altoCompra / Venda
— / —
125 million and aboveSpread
—
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 48 minutos
Atrasado21/02/26, 21:00 UTC31/03/27, 14:00 UTC
O gráfico e as variações mostram probabilidades históricas guardadas, não o livro selecionado em tempo real.
Tendências
Linha selecionada: ponto médio do livro. Outras linhas: referências guardadas, possivelmente normalizadas; as variações de 24h usam o histórico guardado.
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Encerramento antecipado:
- Sim
- Prazo de liquidação:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidade de mercado · 125 million and above
A carregar o livro selecionado…
—
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)
Kalshi2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Directional)
Kalshi2026 Midterms: House popular vote vs. generic ballot?
Kalshi2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
Polymarket2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Directional)
Manifold MarketsIf Musk registers a new party before the 2026 midterms, what % of House votes will it win?
Manifold MarketsRegras
If the total vote count in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections is at least 125,000,000, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:the Clerk of the House
- The vote count refers to the officially certified results from the relevant election authority. Provisional, absentee, early, mail-in, or electronic ballots are included only if reflected in the official certification. In preferential or ranked-choice systems, the contract resolves based on the vote count identified as the official result by the certifying authority. If the election is held in multiple phases, the contract resolves on the certified aggregate total. If a runoff forms part of the certified result, it is encompassed. The contract resolves based on officially certified results regardless of ongoing appeals. Preliminary counts, exit polls, projections, or uncertified results do not qualify. If the election is postponed but held within one year of the originally scheduled date, the contract remains valid; if postponed beyond one year or canceled, all contracts resolve to No.
Regras de cada resultado
- 125 million and above
- If the total vote count in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections is at least 125,000,000, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 115 to 119.99 million
- If the total vote count in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections is between 115,000,000 and 119,999,999, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 110 to 114.99 million
- If the total vote count in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections is between 110,000,000 and 114,999,999, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 120 to 124.99 million
- If the total vote count in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections is between 120,000,000 and 124,999,999, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 105 to 109.99 million
- If the total vote count in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections is between 105,000,000 and 109,999,999, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 100 to 104.99 million
- If the total vote count in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections is between 100,000,000 and 104,999,999, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Less than 90 million
- If the total vote count in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections is 89,999,999 and below, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 95 to 99.99 million
- If the total vote count in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections is between 95,000,000 and 99,999,999, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 90 to 94.99 million
- If the total vote count in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections is between 90,000,000 and 94,999,999, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.